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Alan Johnson’s Oscar Picks

On February 26th, the 84th Annual Oscars will be announced. Here are my predictions.


Who Will Win: The Artist

The Best Picture race is kind of like the GOP race.  Hugo, Midnight in Paris, Moneyball, The Tree of Life, and War Horse are like Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Jon Huntsman, Rick Perry, and Tim Pawlenty because they all have no chance of winning. Like Romney, The Artist has always been the frontrunner that no one liked that much. For months, voters tried to find better candidates, but they are going to end up voting for the same old movie. And Newt Gingrich is Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close to Pissing Everybody Off.

Who Should Win: Drive

If Best Picture means the best actors, script, and director, then Drive wins hands down. The 80s electronic soundtrack takes the viewer to the seedy part of Los Angeles, two things that one would not think go well togeth but actually fit perfectly. While it won’t win anything, I will remember Drive as the best movie of the year.


Who Will Win: George Clooney – The Descendents

Clooney appears to be the frontrunner. It’s his sixth nomination in seven years and…he’s George Clooney. While The Descendants is a flawed movie, Clooney gives his usual fine performance. The real kicker is the scene where he cries over his wife. In a weak year, that scene and his star power will win him his second Oscar.

Who Should Win: Brad Pitt – Moneyball

Pitt is in a very similar position to Clooney. They are both huge movie stars who also happen to be fantastic actors. While Clooney has had more nominations, most people would agree that Pitt is probably the better actor and was better in Moneyball than Clooney in The Descendents. If anyone can upset Clooney, it will be Brad Pitt. Now, if it was a dreamier eyes award, it would be much more of a toss up…


Who Will Win: Viola Davis – The Help

Viola Davis is a good actress. She has been in good movies. The Help is not one of them. However, the Oscar voters like The Help and, if it can’t win Best Picture, they are going to find a place to vote for it.

Who Should Win: Rooney Mara – The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo is a dark movie. Adapting a novel with multiple rape scenes and a history of sexual abuse was always going to be visually disconcerting. It’s a hard movie to watch and a big part of that is Rooney Mara’s performance. She has the hardest transformation to make and she succeeds, saving the movie. They should call Rooney Mara, “The Girl With The Star Tattoo,” because, after this performance, she is going to be a star!


Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer – Beginners

A movie about an old gay, dying father and his son’s grieving process? It should be called Oscar: The Movie. However, Plummer saves some of the sappy material with a fine performance that will deservedly reward his strong career with his first Oscar.

Who Should Win: Dog – The Artist

I haven’t seen better canine acting since The Shaggy Dog. Maybe even Air Bud: Golden Receiver.


Who Will Win: Octavia Spencer – The Help

Ever since the movie came out in August, Spencer has been the favorite to win the Best Supporting Actress race. And with good reason. Without spoiling the movie, Spencer has one great scene that will simultaneously gross you out, make you laugh, and feel a sense of revenge. For that scene alone, Spencer will win the Oscar.

Who Should Win: Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids

McCarthy was the best part about one of the most entertaining movies of the year. She made herself look awful in the name of comedy and that is something the Academy usually ignores. The fact that she was even nominated should be considered a win for her.

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